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Research Area

Macroeconomic Modelling & Forecasting

CPAG analyses Romania’s economic outlook, including growth, inflation, fiscal and external imbalances, monetary conditions and key macroeconomic risks, placing developments in a broader EU and Central and Eastern European context.

Romania Macro Risks Report – September 2026
Research PapersSeptember 10, 2026

Romania Macro Risks Report – September 2026

The September 2026 edition of CPAG's Macro Risks Report updates Romania's economic outlook as GDP contracts, inflation remains elevated, and fiscal and external imbalances continue to weigh on the economy. It assesses the latest developments in growth, prices, monetary policy, employment, public debt, and the exchange rate.

Romania Macro Risks Report – June 2026
Research PapersJune 23, 2026

Romania Macro Risks Report – June 2026

The June 2026 edition of CPAG's Macro Risks Report updates Romania's macroeconomic risk assessment, with a focus on fiscal pressures, inflation dynamics, financing conditions, and growth vulnerabilities. It places Romania in a regional context and assesses how fiscal consolidation and external uncertainty shape the near-term outlook. The report also examines labour-market signals, external balances, public-debt dynamics, and the policy constraints facing Romania through the remainder of the year.