Macroeconomic Modelling & Forecasting

CPAG analyses Romania’s economic outlook, including growth, inflation, fiscal and external imbalances, monetary conditions and key macroeconomic risks, placing developments in a broader EU and Central and Eastern European context.

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Macroeconomic modelling & forecasting Economic policy analysis Monetary policy International finance & financial markets Fiscal policy Public finance & taxation Competitiveness & productivity Trade & European integration Energy economics Natural resources & commodities Human capital & labour markets Institutions, governance & political economy

Research PapersJune 23, 2026

Romania Macro Risks Report – June 2026

Macroeconomic modelling & forecasting Fiscal policy

The June 2026 edition of CPAG's Macro Risks Report updates Romania's macroeconomic risk assessment, with a focus on fiscal pressures, inflation dynamics, financing conditions, and growth vulnerabilities. It places Romania in a regional context and assesses how fiscal consolidation and external uncertainty shape the near-term outlook. The report also examines labour-market signals, external balances, public-debt dynamics, and the policy constraints facing Romania through the remainder of the year.

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